服务贸易条款深度如何影响我国出口增加值

How Does the Depth of Services Trade Provisions Influence China’s Added Value of Exports?

基于区域贸易协定数据库等数据来源,考察了我国各主要自由贸易协定的服务贸易条款深度,分析了该深度对我国服务业及制造业出口中所包含国内外增加值的影响。主要研究结果表明,服务贸易条款深度抑制了我国服务业出口中的国内增加值,不论是对中间服务还是最终服务出口上述抑制效应始终成立;国外增加值效应方面,服务贸易条款深度扩大了我国服务贸易出口中来自于FTA伙伴国的国外增加值,降低了来自于第三国的国外增加值,这表明我国FTA服务贸易条款可能导致了服务贸易出口增加值由非伙伴国向伙伴国的贸易转移。服务贸易条款深度显著促进了我国制造业出口中的国内外增加值,尤其是最终品制造业的出口更是如此;值得注意的是,服务贸易条款深度对我国制造业出口中来自第三国的国外增加值也是促进效应,表明了其在增加值贸易创造方面的外溢效应。

Based on the Regional Trade Agreement database and other data sources,this paper investigates the depth of services trade provisions in China's main free trade agreements and analyzes its impact on the domestic and foreign added value in China's exports of service industry and manufacturing industry.The major results show that the depth of services trade provisions restrains the domestic added value in the exports of service industry,and the restraining effect exists in the both exports of the intermediate service and the final service.As for the foreign value added effect,the depth of services trade provisions has expanded the foreign added value from China's FTA partners in the exports of service trade and reduced those added value from the third countries,which indicates that China's services trade provisions might have caused the trade diversion from non-partner to partner countries.The depth of services trade provisions has significantly promoted the domestic and foreign added value in the exports of manufacturing industry,especially the exports of those final goods manufacturing industry.It is noteworthy that the depth of services trade provisions has also the promotion effect on the foreign added value from the third countries in the exports of China's manufacturing industry,which indicates that it has the spillover effect in the added values of trade creation.