东京奥运周期我国竞技体操竞技实力分析

Analysis of Competitive Strength of Chinese Competitive Gymnastics in Tokyo Olympic Cycle

本文通过运用文献资料法、录像观察法、数理统计法、对比分析法等研究方法,对东京奥运周期内第47、48届世界体操锦标赛中国体操队竞技实力进行分析总结出:(1)我国男子体操队实力明显优于女子体操队,但女子体操队"含金率"高;(2)男子团体、双杠、个人全能、鞍马、女子高低杠、平衡木优势明显,自由体操实力下降;(3)范忆琳、刘婷婷、肖若腾、邹敬园具备东京奥运会夺金实力;(4)21-26岁年龄段是男子运动员的最佳竞技年龄段,女子运动员主要集中在不大于20岁的年龄段;(5)华东、华北、华南、华中地区是我国体操人才的主要输送地。通过分析,判断第49届体操世锦赛我国体操队成绩的大致发展趋向,为备战东京奥运会带来些许启示。

Using literature method, video observation, mathematical statistics, comparative analysis and other research methods, for the competitive strength of the Chinese gymnastics team at the 37th and 38th world gymnastics championships in the Tokyo Olympic cycle and concludes as follows: 1) the strength of China’s men’s gymnastics team is obviously better than that of women’s gymnastics team, but the women’s gymnastics team has a high percentage of gold;2) men’s team, parallel bars, individual all-around, pommel horse, women’s uneven bars, balance beam advantage obvious, floor exercise strength decline;3) Fan Yilin, Liu Tingting, Xiao Ruoteng and Zou Jingyuan are capable of winning gold in the Tokyo Olympic Games;4) the age between 21 and 26 is the best competitive age for male athletes, while female athletes are mainly concentrated in the age group less than 20 years old;5) East China, North China, South China, Central China is the main transfer of gymnastics talent. Through the analysis, we can judge the general development trend of China’s gymnastics team’s performance in the 49th world gymnastics championships, and bring some enlightenment to the preparation for the Tokyo Olympic Games.