摘要
文章针对微观企业参与碳排放权交易时多周期决策问题,在碳排放权使用周期较短和不允许超额排放等假设条件下,研究了微观企业的碳排放权交易周期性剩余决策,计算不同使用周期的碳排放权的最优预测时域,并比较使用期无限长碳排放权的最优预测时域,分析得出带有使用周期限制的碳排放权降低了预测时域,但是碳排放权使用周期的长短对预测时域的计算也会有不同的影响。
In view of the multi-periodic decision of micro-enterprises’participation in carbon emission trading,and under the assumption that the carbon emission right is used for a short period and excess emission is not allowed,this paper makes a study on the cyclical residual decision of carbon emission trading in micro-enterprises,and then calculates the optimal forecast horizon of carbon emission rights for different life cycles.The study results show that the carbon emission permit with use period limits reduces the forecast horizon,but the use period of carbon emission rights has different effect on the calculation of forecast horizon.
作者
兰梓睿
孙振清
靖富营
Lan Zirui;Sun Zhenqing;Jing Fuying(Institute for Resource,Environmental and Ecological Studies,Tianjin Academy of Social Sciences,Tianjin 300191,China;School of Management and Economics,Tianjin University of Science and Technology,Tianjin 300222,China;Chongqing Key Laboratory of Electronic Commerce and Supply Chain System,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 610054,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第16期45-49,共5页
Statistics & Decision
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目（16AGL002）
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目（16JZD014）
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目（17YJCZH058）
关键词
碳排放权交易
预测时域
前向算法
多周期决策
微观企业
carbon emissions trading
forecast horizon
forward algorithm
multi-periodic decision-making
micro enterprises
