俄罗斯推动中俄印三角关系的动力机制研究

Research on Russia’s Motivation for Promoting Triangular Relations between China,Russia and India

大国三角关系作为国际关系研究中的重要问题,在不同历史时期出现了众多相关理论和实证方面的成果。然而,当代大国三角关系与大国外交政策之间存在何种逻辑机制,已有的研究却未能给出相应解释。文章以中俄印三角关系为例,基于对中俄印三方经济互补性以及军事合作的讨论,回顾了俄罗斯外交思想形成和发展的进程,排除了其作为俄罗斯推动三边合作机制的动力因素。文章认为,俄罗斯在推进三角关系方面主要受到两个要素的影响,它们分别是俄罗斯与西方主导的国际体系之间的矛盾,以及俄政府对中俄印三方是否具备可行的关系共识的评估。

Triangular relations between major states is an important theme in the field of international relations research,with theoretical and empirical findings varying across different historical periods However,existing literature does not offer an explanation as to the question of the logical mechanism between contemporary triangular major state relations and great state diplomatic policy Taking the example of triangular relations between China,Russia and India,this article first reviews the formation and development of diplomatic thinking in Russia It considers the economic complementarities between the three states and their military cooperation,ruling out that these are the factors motivating Russia to promote mechanisms for trilateral cooperation It argues that there are two factors influencing Russia’s promotion of triangular relations:contradictions between Russia and the Western dominated international system,and the assessment of the Russian government as to whether a common understanding between China,Russia and India regarding their relationship is tenable.