大湘西果蔬农产品供应链风险研究

Research on Supply Chain Risk for Fruit and Vegetable Products in Big Xiangxi

近年来,大湘西果蔬农产品供应链在政府扶持下产业实力不断壮大,产业特色更加突出,但受地域、信息条件等因素影响,其供应链风险问题依然存在。结合大湘西果蔬农产品供应链发展存在的技术落后、冷链物流发展缓慢等问题,找出供应、生产与管理以及市场三大风险,其中包括质量安全风险、冷链物流风险、市场需求变化风险等13种风险因素。根据所得风险因素确定大湘西果蔬农产品供应链系统边界,分析系统结构,并确定各子系统之间的因果关系,从而建立系统动力学模型进行模拟,得出市场风险为主要风险因素。

In recent years,the industrial strength of the supply chain risk for fruit and vegetable products in Big Xiangxi has been growing under the support of the government,and the industrial characteristics have become more prominent.However,due to factors such as geographical and information conditions,the problems of supply chain risk still exists.This paper combines the problems of backward technology and slow development of cold chain logistics in the development of the supply chain risk for fruit and vegetable products in Big Xiangxi,and finds three major risks in supply,production and management and market,including 13 risk factors such as quality and safety risks,cold chain logistics risks and market demand change risks.According to the obtained risk factors,the article determines the boundary of the supply chain system of the fruit and vegetable products in Big Xiangxi, analyzes the system structure,and ascertains the causal relationship between the subsystems.Thus a system dynamics model to simulate is established and finally it is found out that the market risk is the main risk factor.