河南省“五化”协调发展的时空演变研究

On the spatial-temporal evolution of the coordinated development of “Five Modernizations” in Henan Province

农业现代化、城镇化、工业化、信息化和绿色化(以下简称“五化”)提出以来就受到各界的重视。本文运用综合发展指数和耦合协调度模型,探究2007—2016年河南省“五化”协调发展的时空演变特征。结果表明,在时间维度上,“五化”综合发展指数呈波动上升趋势,整体实力日益提升;耦合度总体水平较高,系统间相互作用显著;协调度水平相对较低,均值介于濒临失调与勉强协调之间。在空间维度上,“五化”综合发展水平较高的地区主要分布在郑州市及其周边地区,较低的地区从河南省的东南部转向西部;耦合度较高的地区分布在郑州市及其周边地区,较低的地区分布在河南省的东南部;达到初级协调的地区主要分布在郑州市及其周边地区,勉强协调和不协调的地区主要分布在河南省东南部和西部地区。针对河南省“五化”协调发展过程中存在的问题,提出相应的发展对策,以促进河南省整体综合实力的提升。

Agricultural modernization, urbanization, industrialization, informatization and greenization (hereinafter referred to as “Five Modernizations”) have received great attention from all walks of life. Using the comprehensive development index and the coupling coordination degree model, the paper explores the spatial-temporal evolution feature of the coordinated development of the “Five Modernizations” in Henan Province from 2007 to 2016. The results show that:In the time dimension, the “Five Modernizations” comprehensive development index showed a volatility overall trend. The overall strength is increasing. The “Five Modernizations” coupling degree is generally higher. The interaction between systems is significant. The level of coordination degree is relatively low. The average is between the onset and the barely coordinated. In the spatial dimension, the areas with higher comprehensive development level of “Five Modernizations” are mainly distributed in Zhengzhou City and its surrounding areas. The distribution of lower areas is changed from the southeastern part of Henan Province to the west. The areas with high coupling degree of “Five Modernizations” are distributed in Zhengzhou and its surrounding areas. The lower areas are distributed in the southeast of Henan Province. The areas that have reached primary coordination are mainly distributed in Zhengzhou and its surrounding areas. The areas that are barely coordinated and uncoordinated are mainly distributed in the southeastern and western regions of Henan Province. In response to the problems existing in the coordinated development of the “Five Modernizations” in Henan Province, development countermeasures are proposed to promote the overall comprehensive strength of Henan Province.