摘要
旅游产业集聚外部性对产业效率提升产生双向影响,确定现阶段两者的互动关系对指导旅游产业可持续发展具有重要意义。基于2010—2017年沿海11省份114个城市的面板数据,在分析旅游产业集聚与旅游效率时空演变特征的基础上,运用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型,对旅游产业集聚与效率的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,2010—2017年沿海省份旅游产业集聚与效率水平小幅上升,主要得益于自身惯性发展的影响,且旅游产业集聚的发展惯性大于旅游效率;从区域整体层面看,现阶段沿海省份旅游产业集聚已不是推动旅游效率提升的主要作用力,旅游产业集聚抑制了旅游纯技术效率的提高,对规模效率存在正向影响但影响程度相对较小;分省回归结果显示,现阶段河北、天津、福建旅游产业集聚会显著提高旅游效率,正外部性占主导地位,上海、浙江旅游产业集聚对效率未呈现显著影响,处于由正转负的拐点时期,辽宁、山东、江苏、广东、广西、海南旅游产业集聚阻碍了旅游效率提升,拥挤效应的约束性逐渐显现;与此相反,旅游效率对旅游产业集聚产生正向影响,较高的效率水平仍然会持续带来产业集聚动力。最后就合理控制旅游产业集聚水平、建设生态产业集群、加快旅游创新等方面提供政策建议与决策参考。
The externality of tourism industrial agglomeration has a two-way impact on the improvement of industrial efficiency. It is of great significance to accurately determine the relationship between tourism industrial agglomeration and efficiency for guiding the sustainable development of tourism industry. Based on the panel data of 114 cities in China's coastal provinces from 2010 to 2017, this paper analyzes spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of tourism industry agglomeration and efficiency and conducts an empirical study on the relationship between tourism industrial agglomeration and efficiency with the panel vector auto-regression model (PVAR). The results show that on the one hand, the level of tourism industry agglomeration and efficiency in coastal provinces increased slightly from 2010 to 2017 thanks to their own inertial development, with the development inert of tourism industrial agglomeration being more than tourism efficiency. On the other hand, the tourism industrial agglomeration has a negative impact on tourism efficiency in coastal provinces at present stage, but the tourism efficiency has a positive impact on tourism industrial agglomeration. What is more, from the provincial regression results, tourism industrial agglomeration in Hebei, Tianjin and Fujian has significantly improved tourism efficiency at present stage with positive externality dominating. In Shanghai and Zhejiang province, tourism industrial agglomeration has no significant impact on efficiency and is at a turning point from tourism agglomeration positive externality to negative. Tourism industrial agglomeration in Liaoning, Shandong, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan provinces hinders the improvement of tourism industrial efficiency with the constraints of congestion effect gradually appearing. Finally, this paper provides policy suggestions on controlling the tourism industry agglomeration level, constructing eco-industrial clusters, and attaching importance to tourism innovation.
作者
王新越
朱文亮
芦雪静
时高磊
孟繁卿
Wang Xinyue;Zhu Wenliang;Lu Xuejing;Shi Gaolei;Meng Fanqing(College of Management , Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China;Ocean Development Research Institute, Ocean university of China, Qingdao 266100, China)
出处
《中国海洋大学学报(社会科学版)》
2019年第5期81-95,共15页
Journal of Ocean University of China(Social Sciences)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“我国东部地区旅游化与新型城镇化互动协调发展研究”(14YJC790123)
中国海洋大学青年教师科研专项基金项目“旅游驱动的新型城镇化发展机制与模式研究”(201613004)阶段性成果
关键词
旅游产业集聚
效率
PVAR
沿海省份
tourism industrial agglomeration
efficiency
PVAR
coastal provinces