可耗竭资源与经济可持续发展“悖论”研究

Research on the Paradox between Exhaustible Resource and Sustainable Economic Development

通过构建理论模型,分析可知可耗竭资源使用对经济增长的影响呈现倒U型;进而构建面板数据模型,对中国不同区域的可耗竭资源使用与经济增长的关系进行实证检验,发现可耗竭资源使用通过加剧环境污染排放的累积效应而进一步扩大对经济增长的阻碍作用,但受中国经济区域发展不平衡影响,以及可耗竭资源的稀缺效应和资源消耗增长惯性影响,东部、中部、西部和全国的单位资源消耗带来的环境污染排放对经济增长的抑制系数存在明显差异,东部最高,西部最低。因此,应依据不同区域可耗竭资源使用对经济增长的影响差异,策略性的转变经济增长动力,以征收庇古税和设立可持续发展基金为手段来消除可耗竭资源使用过程中经济负效应。

By setting up a theoretical model, this paper finds an inverted U-shaped relationship between exhaustible resources and economic growth. Then it constructs a panel data model to test the relationship between the use of exhaustible resources and economic growth in different regions in China. The study finds that the use of exhaustible resources could further hinder economic growth by exacerbating the cumulative effects of environmental pollution emissions. However, due to the imbalance of regional economic development in China, as well as the scarcity effect of exhaustible resources and energy consumption growth inertia, there are significant differences in the inhibitory coefficients of environmental pollution emission on economic growth caused by unit energy consumption in the eastern, central, western and nationwide regions, with the eastern region the highest and the western region the lowest. Therefore, this paper proposes to transform economic growth momentum in different regions according to the impact of energy consumption on economic growth, and imposes the Pigovian tax and sustainable development funds to eliminate the negative economic effect in the use of exhaustible resources.