江西省雾霾污染的区域差异及其驱动因素研究

Regional Differences and Driving Factors of Fog and Haze Pollution in Jiangxi

针对江西省雾霾污染的整体状况和区域差异,采用描述统计分析和泰尔指数进行分析和测算,并在已有的经济和环境理论的基础上,借助面板数据回归模型对江西省雾霾污染的驱动因素进行定位和分析。研究表明,江西省雾霾污染呈波动上升的发展趋势,且具有春夏季节低、秋冬季节高的特征;江西省雾霾污染的区域差异明显,主要原因是各区域内的城市经济发展不平衡;选取的影响因素经筛选后都回归显著,经济发展将带动人们收入提升,并且推动产业升级和产业结构调整,从而将减少雾霾污染。此外,多乘坐公交车少开私家车出行,减少能源消耗,降低能源结构中的煤炭消费比重等都有利于降低雾霾污染。

In view of the overall situation and regional difference of fog and haze pollution in Jiangxi Province,this paper uses the statistical analysis and the Tel index to analyze and calculate the fog and haze pollution.On the basis of the existing economic and environmental theories,the driving factors of the haze pollution in Jiangxi province are located and analyzed with the help of panel data regression model.The study shows that the fog and haze pollution in Jiangxi shows a trend of fluctuating and rising trend,which has the characteristics of low in spring and summer season and high in autumn and winter season.The regional difference of fog and haze pollution in Jiangxi is obvious,the main reason is that the urban economic development is unbalance in each region;the selected influence factors are all significant,and the economic development will bring the promotion of people's income,and promote industrial upgrading and industrial structure adjustment,which will reduce fog and haze pollution.In addition,more bus travel and less private cars,reduction of energy consumption and the proportion of coal consumption in the energy structure will help to reduce the fog pollution.