广东省产业绿色发展的空间格局及影响因素分析

Comprehensive level of the green development of industry in Guangdong province and spatial econometric analysis of the influencing factors

产业绿色发展对构建高效低耗、绿色循环发展的产业体系、实现经济可持续发展具有重要意义。从产业绿色增长度、资源环境承载力和政府政策支撑力三个维度构建广东省产业绿色发展综合评价指标体系,采用熵值法,测度了2005-2015年广东省及各市产业绿色发展综合水平,并运用探索性空间数据分析方法剖析了广东省各市产业绿色发展的空间关联特征,在此基础上采用空间误差模型对广东省产业绿色发展水平的影响因素进行探讨。结果表明:(1)从总体水平看,广东省产业绿色发展综合水平基本呈现持续增长态势;(2)从空间分布看,其总体水平的空间格局呈现“核心-边缘”状,高水平主要集聚在珠三角,而中低水平主要分布在珠三角外围地区;(3)从空间演化看,2005-2015年广东省各市的产业绿色发展水平空间差异略有扩大,但总体格局保持相对稳定;(4)从空间关联特征看,广东省各市产业绿色发展水平的空间分布集聚格局基本稳定,珠三角城市处于高值集聚的热点地区,外围地区的东翼和北部山区部分城市处于低值集聚的冷点地区;(5)空间误差模型结果显示全球化、市场化、居民收入水平、政府调控和科技水平均对广东省产业绿色发展水平产生显著的正向影响,而城镇化对产业绿色发展的影响不显著。

The green development of industry is of great significance to the construction of industrial system that is efficient, low- cost, green and circular development, and to the realization of sustainable economic development. This paper constructs the comprehensive evaluation index system of the green development of industry in Guangdong province from three dimensions of industrial green growth, resource and environmental carrying capacity and government policy support, using the entropy method, measures the comprehensive levels of Guangdong province and its respective cities from 2005 to 2015, and uses the exploratory spatial data analysis method to analyze the spatial correlation characteristics of the green development of industry of the cities in Guangdong province, on the basis of the spatial error model, discusses the influencing factors of industry ecology in Guangdong province. The results show that:(1) On the whole, the comprehensive level of the green development of industry in Guangdong province presents a sustainable growth trend.(2) From the perspective of spatial distribution, the overall spatial pattern of the Pearl River Delta presents a structure of "Core-edge'*, with the Pearl River Delta as the core and the peripheral areas of the Pearl River Delta as the edge.(3) From the perspective of spatial evolution, the spatial differences of the green development of industry in the cities of Guangdong province are slightly enlarged from 2005 to 2015, but the overall pattern remains relatively stable.(4) From the perspective of spatial correlation characteristics, the agglomeration pattern of the spatial distribution of the green development of industry in the cities of Guangdong province is stable. The cities in the Pearl River Delta present high- high agglomeration phenomenon, while some cities in the eastern and mountainous areas of the peripheral areas present low- low agglomeration phenomenon.(5) Globalization, marketization, residents' income level, government regulation, as well as science and technology level all have a significant influence on the green development of industry in Guangdong province, while the influence of urbanization is not significant.