“一带一路”背景下中越农产品贸易的三元边际分析

Ternary marginal analysis of agricultural trade between China and Vietnam under the background of the Belt and Road

本文采用1996—2015年中越农产品贸易HS-6位产品层面贸易数据,在对农产品按属性进行分类的基础上,对“一带一路”背景下中越农产品三元边际进行了测算。结果表明:中国对越南农产品出口种类较为丰富,出口价格高速增长但质量未明显提升,农产品市场份额由于数量边际的下降而萎缩;越南对中国农产品出口种类增长较快,农产品质量进一步提高,农产品市场份额实现了扩张。基于这一结论,本文提出了相关建议,以期进一步推进中越农产品贸易的发展。

In this paper,hs-6 product-level trade data of China and Vietnam agricultural products trade from 1996 to 2015 were used to calculate the ternary margin under the background of the Belt and Road on the basis of classifying agricultural products according to their attributes.The results showed that China’s export of agricultural products to Vietnam was diversified,the export price increased rapidly but the quality was not significantly improved,and the market share of agricultural products shrank due to the marginal decrease in quantity.The types of agricultural products which Vietnam exports to China have grown rapidly,the quality of agricultural products has been further improved,and the market share of agricultural products has expanded.Based on this conclusion,this paper puts forward relevant suggestions in order to further promote the development of agricultural trade between China and Vietnam.