摘要
分析中美关系的现状与走势,可以将美国对华政策的三大长期目标——利用中国市场带动美国内经济发展(商业层面)、把中国变为一个基督教国家(宗教层面)以及推动中国的“民主化”(政治层面)——作为一个视角。对经济上坚信重商主义的特朗普、宗教上极其保守的彭斯以及意识形态上强烈反共的班农而言,这三大目标已完全失败,因此他们在对华政策上偏激极端,导致中美关系急剧恶化。但40年来中美两国在经贸和人文方面已建立了广泛和深入的联系,并且中国政府长期以来坚定不移地奉行和平发展、合作共赢的外交政策。这两个关键性因素,决定了中美在高科技等领域选择性对抗的同时,也会在经贸等领域开展必要合作。这或可称为“新型大国对抗关系”。
This paper examines the sharp deterioration of China-U.S.relations in the Trump era through the lens of the three long-term goals of America s China policy.These three goals include turning China into a profitable market for American businesses,converting China into a Christian country,and transforming China into a democracy.Admittedly,prior to Trump s election there was already widespread perception that the three goals had failed completely.But to the troika of Donald Trump,Mike Pence,and Steve Bannon,that failure became intolerable,hence an openly confrontational China policy is implemented.Yet extensive economic interdependence and people-to-people ties,coupled with the Chinese leadership s steadfast commitment to the Five Principles of Peace Co-existence and win-win cooperation,render a total“de-coupling”impossible in the short-term.Thus in the foreseeable future the relationship will be characterized by a new model of great power confrontation:confront if possible but cooperate if necessary.
出处
《亚太安全与海洋研究》
CSSCI
2019年第5期14-28,I0001,共16页
Asia-Pacific Security and Maritime Affairs
基金
北京外国语大学青年学术创新团队项目“新型国际关系构建中的中美关系研究”(编号:2015JT003)
