沪陕两地传染病目标动态调整的程度研究

Study on the degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious diseases goals in Shanghai and Shaanxi

[目的]比较沪陕两地根据公众健康需要对传染病目标动态调整程度的变化趋势,分析其与传染病发病率间的相关性。[方法]系统收集两地公开发布的政策文件中关于目标的表述和发布问题敏感指标信息的权威报告,量化计算目标的动态调整程度;运用Spearman相关、线性回归等方法,分析其与传染病发病率之间的关系。[结果]沪陕两地传染病目标的动态调整程度均由2000年的0.0%分别提高到2017年的17.9%和26.6%;两地传染病目标的动态调整程度与传染病发病率之间均呈显著负相关性,相关系数分别为-0.714和-0.487,对传染病发病率变化的解释程度分别为52.2%和17.6%。[结论]沪陕两地根据公众健康需要对传染病的目标动态调整的程度均呈上升趋势,上海市传染病目标动态调整的程度对传染病防控工作的影响已初步体现;陕西省传染病目标动态调整发挥的作用不如上海市;沪陕两地还需进一步提升传染病目标动态调整的程度,发挥其对传染病防控工作的影响。

Objective To compare the variation trend of the degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious diseases goals according to public health needs in Shanghai and Shaanxi,and analyze the correlation between the dynamic adjustment degree of goals and the incidence of infectious diseases. Methods The authoritative reports about information on sensitive indicators of issues and policy documents on the expression of goals published in the publicly were systematically collected,quantum chemical calculation of dynamic adjustment degree of goals. Spearman correlation,linear regression and other methods were used to analyze the relationship between the degree of dynamic adjustment of goals and incidence of infectious diseases. Results The degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious diseases goals according to public health needs in Shanghai and Shaanxi increased from 0.0% in 2000 to 17. 9% and 26.6% in 2017 respectively. The degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious disease goals and infectious disease incidence in both places were significantly negative. The correlation coefficient was -0.714 and -0.487,and the interpretation degree to the incidence of infectious diseases was 52.2% and 17.6% respectively. Conclusions The degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious diseases goals in Shanghai and Shaanxi is increasing according to public health needs. The impact of the degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious diseases in Shanghai on the prevention and treatment of infectious diseases has been initially reflected. The effect of the function in Shaanxi is not as good as Shanghai. It needs to further improve the degree of dynamic adjustment of infectious disease goals and exert their influence on the prevention and treatment of infectious diseases in Shanghai and Shaanxi.