决策演化集中预测规则与实际规则的博弈

Game between forecast rules and real rules in decision evolution set

在决策演化集理论体系下,预测规则是伴随实际规则而产生的,因此预测规则必然会对实际规则产生影响,但目前对于两者相互作用的机制仍不清楚。本文引入博弈论方法,构建预测规则和实际规则的博弈矩阵,通过计算它们的收益,分析它们对决策信息系统所带来的影响。

In the decision evolution set theory system, the forecast rules are accompanied by the real rules, so the forecast rules will inevitably have an impact on the real rules. However, there are few studies on the relationship between forecast rules and real rules. In this paper, the game theory method is introduced to construct the game matrix of forecast rules and real rules, calculate their profits, and then analyze their influence on the decision information system.