世贸组织改革中的中美竞合:博弈论的视角

WTO Reform and Sino-US Co-opetition From the Prospective of Game Theory

世贸组织改革是当前全球治理机制变革的重要议题。相关国家就世贸组织改革提出的方案涉及争端解决机制、贸易政策监督和发展中国家身份等问题,集中反映了以美国为代表的发达国家与以中国为代表的新兴国家之间的矛盾,以致形成双方之间不对称的博弈结构。运用博弈论进行分析可以发现,通过采用与欧盟、加拿大等国提出的多边主义方案进行国际联合的策略,中国在与美国进行对冲和单方面让步之外,有可能找到应对僵局的有效路径。

WTO reform is a significant topic in the global governance mechanism reform.The WTO reform proposals by the relevant countries involve dispute settlement mechanism,trade policy supervision and the identity of developing country.It reflects the contradiction between the developed countries and the emerging countries.Using game theory,the author finds that China could adopt an international joint policy with the cooperation with EU,Canada and other states and find other effective paths to cope with the deadlock.