多源流理论在中国:基于期刊论文(2005～2018)的文献计量评估

Multiple Streams Theory in China: A Bibliometric Evaluation Based on Journal Articles (2005～2018)

多源流理论在中国学界的关注度不断增加,应用政策领域日益多元,研究质量明显提升,但在一定程度上存在着理论适用性论证不足、模型的应用泛化和简化、缺乏与其他主流公共政策理论对话及概念要素间因果机制缺乏逻辑性等问题。未来研究应注重论证多源流框架适用性,探索对其进行“本土化”改造;提升概念界定的清晰度与模型应用的灵活性,体现该框架的理论张力;加强多源流理论与其他公共政策理论之间的对话,增加理论的解释力与延展性;重视理论假设的具体化,强化因果机制的证据支持与逻辑联系;拓宽研究视野,增加研究对象和研究方法的多元性。

Multiple streams theory is attracting more and more attention in Chinese academic circle, and the application of policy is becoming more and more diversified. The quality of the research has improved significantly. However, there are still some limitations in existing literatures, such as insufficient theoretical applicability, generalization and simplification of the application of the model, lack of dialogue with other mainstream public policy theories, as well as lack of logicality within causal factors of conceptual elements. Future research should focus on demonstrating the applicability of multi-source flow framework, exploring its “localization” transformation, improving the clarity of concept definition and flexibility of model application, reflecting the theoretical tension of the framework, strengthening the dialogue between multi-source flow theory and other public policy theories, and increasing the explanatory power and extensibility of the theory. Based on the concretization of theoretical hypothesis, we should strengthen the evidence support and logical connection of causal mechanism, broaden the research horizon, and increase the diversity of research objects and methods.