基于GM(1,n)的公路项目风险成本分析

Highway Project Risk Cost Analysis Based on GM(1,n)

与建筑工程相比,公路项目不可预见风险因素更多。为实现公路项目节约成本、规避风险的目的,文章提出利用GM(1,n)构建风险成本预估模型进行敏感性分析。与传统的风险分析模型相比,文章依据预估模型得到的分析结果更为直接客观。

Compared with construction projects,the highway projects have more unforeseen risk factors.In order to realize the cost saving and risk avoidance of highway projects,this article proposes to use GM(1,n) to construct the risk cost prediction model for sensitivity analysis.Compared with the traditional risk analysis model,the analysis results obtained from this prediction model are more direct and objective.