摘要
全要素生产率水平的稳定和提高是区域经济可持续发展的决定性因素。通过定量研究国内外贸易和人力资本与全要素生产率水平的关系,有助于分析国内外贸易和人力资本对上海转型发展的实际影响,探索“创新驱动、转型发展”战略的具体政策选项。研究结果显示:21世纪早期国际贸易提升了上海全要素生产率水平,2008年全球金融危机之后国际贸易的影响逐步减弱,上海经济发展模式面临转型;长期以来上海市政府推动落实的人才引进政策逐步奏效,人力资本得以改善,对冲和缓解了国际贸易萎缩对全要素生产率的负面影响,在一定程度上实现了从出口驱动发展模式向人力资本等内生性因素驱动的“创新驱动”模式的成功转型。
The stability and improvement of the level of TFP is the decisive factor for the sustainable development of the regional economy. Quantitatively studying the relationship between domestic and foreign trade, human capital and TFP, it is helpful to analyze the actual impact of domestic and foreign trade and human capital on Shanghai's transformation and development, and explore the specific policy options of the “Innovationdriven, transformational development” strategy. The results show that international trade increased the level of TFP in the early part of this century. After the global financial crisis in 2008, the model of Shanghai's economic development faced transformation. For a long time, Shanghai government has implemented the talent introduction policy, the human capital has been improved, and the negative impact of the shrinking international trade on TFP has been hedged. To a certain degree, Shanghai economy has been successfully transformed from the export-driven model to innovation-driven model by the endogenous factors such as human capital.
作者
孙林
王浩宇
闵璨
Sun Lin;Wang Haoyu;Min Can(Shanghai Academy of Social Science, Shanghai 200020, China)
出处
《上海经济》
2019年第5期15-22,共8页
Shanghai Economy
