能源消费对GDP的影响

The Effect of Energy Consumption on National GDP

能源是推动现代化工业发展的驱动力,为了衡量各类能源消耗对经济发展的影响,论文基于静态的固定效应模型分析,研究了10个国家的GDP与能源消耗的关系。结果表明:石油、天然气、煤炭和核能的消耗促进了GDP的增长,而水电的消耗对GDP的增长没有促进作用。考虑到各国能源结构的异质性,利用Logit模型分别对美国、日本和中国的能源结构进行分析。实证结果表明:美国的天然气消耗对提高GDP具有重要的影响,日本的石油、天然气和水电的消耗推动了GDP的发展,而中国的天然气和水电消耗对其经济增长有积极影响。因此,中国在未来经济发展中,更多地使用天然气和水电等清洁能源有助于经济发展。

Energy is the power to modem industrial world. In this paper, we study the relationship between GDP and specific energy consumption of ten countries. With the static model, we find that the fixed effect model is more appropriate in our study, which shows that in general the crude oil, gas, coal and nuclear power consumption have positive effects to GDP, whereas hydropower consumption has negative effect. Considering the heterogeneity of energy structure in diSerent countries, the energy structures of the US, Japan and China are analyzed by using Logit model. In US, gas consumption is important for increasing GDP In Japan, oil consumption, gas consumption and hydro consumption have positive effects to GDP increasing. In China, gas and hydro power consumption have positive effects to GDP increase. Therefore, China should use more gas and other types of clean energy to develop its economy.