摘要
用预期寿命、老年人政治影响力和人口出生率等三个因素的变化代表人口老龄化,探讨预期寿命、老年人政治影响力和人口出生率变化对公共财政支出偏向及人力资本增长的影响。研究表明,在不考虑其他影响因素的情况下,老年人政治影响力越大,人口出生率越低,预期寿命越长,公共养老金支出占国内生产总值的比重越高,公共教育支出占国内生产总值比重越低,人均人力资本增长也呈下降趋势。但考虑到父母对子女教育的关爱动机和现收现付的公共养老金制度未来可持续性发展,政府在不断增加公共养老金开支的同时,应适当增加公共教育支出,加快人力资本增长,以实现经济社会可持续发展。
The article studies the effect of life expectancy, political influence of the aged and birth rate on the spending of public finance and human capital growth. Results show that the greater political influence of the aged is the lower the population birth rate and the longer the life span;mean while the higher of the public pension to proportion of gross domestic product, the lower of public spending on education to gross domestic product, per capita growth of human capital is a downward trend. With the aging, considering the parents care of their children's education motivation and pay-as-you-go public pension system in the future sustainable development, the government should increase the public pension spending and public spending on education to speed up the growth of human capital, economic and social sustainable development.
出处
《湖南师范大学社会科学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第5期79-86,共8页
Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“生育率下降与预期寿命延长双重约束下养老保险制度可持续性研究”(16BRK016)
黑龙江大学杰出青年基金项目“生育率下降和预期寿命延长双重约束下城乡养老保险制度可持续性研究”(JC2017W4)
黑龙江大学基础科研业务项目“城乡一体化进程中失业保险制度可持续性研究”(HDQRW201601)
