量子测量、概率论与经济预测

Quantum Measurement, Probability Theory and Economic Forecasting

历史的必然是由无数的偶然事件的发生来实现的,历史的必然是大概率事件,而那些无法准确预测的偶然事件便是那测不准的因子。生物进化史中既有遗传又有变异,本质上的原因,就是必然是由无数偶然实现的,偶然是必然中的具体体现。宏观经济与企业管理,一个代表了宏观、一个反应了微观,宏观经济有其历史规律,微观具体的企业管理却有诸多不确定因素。当前,我国经济发展进入了新常态,在总体向上向好发展的形势里,却存在一些企业业务不景气甚至濒临破产的情况。怎么样正确看待这种现象,眼下的经济到底如何评估?我们可以从概率论,甚至在量子物理中找到答案。

The historical necessity is realized by the occurrence of countless accidents. The historical necessity is a high probability event, and the accidental events that cannot be accurately predicted are the factors that are not accurate. There are both inheritance and variability in the history of biological evolution. The essential reason is that necessity is realized by countless accidents, and the accidents are the concrete manifestation of necessity. Macroeconomics and enterprise management represent the macro and micro respectively. The macro economy has its historical law, and the micro-specific enterprise management has many uncertain factors. At present, China's economic development has entered a new normal. In the overall upward trend of development, there are some cases in which the business is in a downturn or even on the verge of bankruptcy. How to correctly treat this phenomenon? How is the current economy evaluated? We can find answers from probability theory and even in quantum physics.