中国旅游产业与三次产业融合及时空演化

The Integration of China’s Tourism Industry and three Industries and It’s Spatio-temporal Evolution

产业融合是实施全域旅游的主要抓手和构建现代旅游经济产业体系的重要手段。基于熵权法、灰色关联模型和探索性空间数据分析方法,本文构建了旅游产业与三次产业融合发展评价指标体系,探讨了中国31个省区旅游产业与三次产业融合及时空演化特征。研究表明:①2002~2016年各省区旅游产业与三次产业融合度逐渐加深,但产业间差异性明显。与第一产业融合由中度融合过渡到中高度融合阶段;与第二产业的融合一直保持在中度融合阶段;与第三产业融合由中度融合过渡到高度融合阶段。②各省区旅游产业与三次产业融合在全局空间呈现正自相关特征,但自相关特征各有不同。旅游产业与第一、三产业融合空间集聚特征凸显,空间集聚程度不断加深;与第二产业融合空间分布持续保持集聚状态,集聚程度没有显著变化。③各省区旅游产业与三次产业融合在局部空间上具有一定规律性。与第一产业融合基本呈现"东高西低"的空间分布格局,高值区域空间分布呈现以环渤海为中心,向南向北波动变化;与第二产业融合呈现由华北、华东向西部、西南地区逐渐递减的空间格局;与第三产业融合呈现"东高西低"分布格局。但受2008年经济危机影响HH集聚区出现暂时性离散发展的态势。

Industrial integration is an important means to implement the comprehensive tourism and build a modern tourism economic industrial system. Based on the entropy method,grey relational model and exploratory spatial data analysis method,this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the integration of the tourism industry and three industries and discusses the integration of the tourism industry and three industries and it’s spatio-temporal evolution characteristics. The results showed that: ①From 2002 to 2016,the degree of integration between the tourism industry and three industries has gradually deepened in all provinces and autonomous regions,but there are significant differences.The integration with the primary industry transitioned from medium integration to medium-high integration; the integration with the secondary industry has been maintained in the medium integration stage; the integration with the tertiary industry has evolved from medium integration to high integration. ②The integration of the tourism industry and three industries in each province and region presents positive autocorrelation features in the global space,but the autocorrelation features are different. The agglomeration of tourism industry and the first and third industries highlights the spatial agglomeration characteristics,and the degree of spatial agglomeration deepens. The spatial distribution of integration with the second industry continues to maintain the agglomeration status,and the extent of agglomeration does not change significantly. ③The fusion of tourism industry and the three industries in each province has certain regularity in the local space. The integration with the primary industry basically presents a spatial distribution pattern of"high in the east and low in the west". The spatial distribution of the HH areas is centered around the Bohai Sea and fluctuates from south to north; the fusion with the secondary industry takes place from North China and East China to the West. The spatial pattern of gradual decline in the southwestern region; the fusion with the tertiary industry to present the distribution pattern of "high in the east and low in the west". However,due to the economic crisis in 2008,there was a temporary and discrete development in the HH areas.