中国与“一带一路”沿线国家贸易关系研究

Research on Trade Competitiveness and Complementarity between China and the Countries along the Belt and Road Initiative

通过2012-2016年中国与“一带一路”沿线64国贸易相关数据,运用四个贸易指数分别测算出中国与沿线六大区域国家的贸易竞争与互补性关系,从TCI指数和RCA 指数上看,中国在制成品上的优势远强于其余国家,但在初级产品特别是能源类产品的竞争力较弱。ESI指数说明各国间的竞争性均不明显,且基本保持稳定。

With the International Trade Center database and Uncomtrade database in 2012-2016, this paper collects the trade data among China and 64 countries along the Belt and Road, and then measures the competitiveness and complementarity of China and 64 countries through 4 indexes including explicit comparative advantage index RCA, export similarity index ESI, the trade complementarity index TCI and trade integration index TI. According to index TCI and RCA, China has a strong advantage on manufacturing products over other 64 countries while it has a disadvantage on primary products, especially on energy products. ESI shows that competitiveness the above countries is unconspicuous and keeps stable.