先进制造业与生产性服务业共生状态分析——基于改进的Logistic模型对长江经济带的实证研究

Symbiosis between advanced manufacturing and producer services: research on Yangtze River Economic Belt based on improved Logistic model

基于生态学种群Logistic共生演化的改进模型,从产业共生视角,运用长江经济带9省2市2005-2015年的基础数据,对先进制造业与生产性服务业之间的共生演化状态进行了实证分析。结果表明,在描述长江经济带先进制造业与生产性服务业的共生演化过程中,运用经过更符合实际的改进Logistic共生演化模型能够很好地展现其演化过程,同时发现两者之间属于非对称性互惠共生行为模式,后者对前者的共生促进作用大于前者对后者的共生拉动作用。由于对称性互惠共生行为模式最稳定、最有效率,并且具有最大的共生能量,提出了长江经济带先进制造业与生产性服务业实现对称性互惠共生演化的若干建议。

Based on the improved Logistic model of symbiosis evolution of ecology, and the perspective of industrial symbiosis, using the basic data of the nine provinces and two cities along the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2015, this paper makes an empirical analysis of symbiotic evolution between advanced manufacturing industry and productive service industry. The results show that the Logistic covariant evolution model which can describe the symbiotic evolution process of the advanced manufacturing and productive service industries in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, and it belongs to the asymmetric reciprocal symbiotic behavior pattern.The latter promoting the role of the former is greater than the former co-stimulating effect on the latter. As the symmetry reciprocal coexistence model is the most stable and efficient, with the largest symbiotic energy, the paper puts forward some suggestions for the symmetry reciprocal coexistence evolution of the advanced manufacturing and producer services along the Yangtze River Economic Belt.