中国对外贸易地理空间结构发展现状及重构研究

Research on the Status Quo and Reconstruction of China’s Foreign Trade Geospatial Structure

以中美贸易战全面爆发为标志,中国对外贸易内、外部地理空间结构正面临全面的重新洗牌。近几年,内陆地区对外贸易发展可圈可点,通过促进中国内部地理空间结构重组可打造中国对外贸易发展新的增长点,推动外部地理空间结构升级,助力中国对外贸易在洗牌后成为贸易强国。文章将地理区位引入随机变动参数模型,实证分析了地理区位对一国不同地区对外贸易的影响。结果表明,我国西部地区的对外贸易克服了地理区位的影响,蕴含着巨大的贸易潜力。借由"一带一路"倡议可以加快促进中国内陆地区对外贸易的发展,从而促进中国区域对外贸易发展的重构与协调发展。

With the full outbreak of trade war between China and the United States, China’s internal and external geospatial structure of foreign trade is facing a comprehensive reshuffle. In recent years, the development of foreign trade in inland regions has been remarkable. By promoting the restructuring of China’s internal geospatial structure, it can create a new growth point of China’s foreign trade development, promote the upgrading of external geographical space structure, and help China’s foreign trade become a powerful trade country after the reshuffle. This article introduces geographical location into random variable parameter model and empirically analyzes the impact of geographical location on foreign trade in different regions of a country. The results show that the foreign trade of western China overcomes the influence of geographical location and contains huge trade potential. The"One Belt and One Road"initiative can accelerate the development of China’s inland foreign trade, thus promoting the reconstruction and coordinated development of regional foreign trade development in China.