地方政府间的政策创新扩散——以城市生活垃圾分类制度为例

Diffusion of Policy Innovation among Local Governments:A Case Study of the Classification System of Urban Domestic Waste

研究政策创新扩散的规律可以有效预测并引导地方政府的社会管理行为,提高政策效率,促进社会经济发展。本文以生活垃圾分类制度为研究对象,对该政策在地级市层面的创新扩散路径进行分析,并利用事件史分析(EHA)模型验证了外部制度因素与城市内生因素对地方政府政策创新扩散行为的影响。研究发现:上级政府的行政命令和省内其他城市的竞争压力会加快地方政府政策创新扩散行为的发生;地级市的人口数量、经济发展水平以及财政依赖度对于地方政府的政策创新扩散行为都表现为正向促进作用,而城市行政级别与地方政府政策创新扩散意愿并不存在显著相关性。

Studying the law of policy innovation diffusion helps to effectively predict and guide the social management of local governments,improve policy efficiency,and promote social and economic devel opment.Taking the domestic waste classification system as an example,this paper analyzes the diffusion path of this policy innovation at the prefecture-level cities and verifies the influence of external institutional factors and urban endogenous factors on local government policy innovation and diffusionwith the event history analysis(EHA).It is found that the administrative orders of higher levels of government and the competitive pressures of other cities within the province will accelerate the occurrence of local government policy innovation and diffusion;the population size,economic development level and financial dependence of prefecture-level cities will play a positive role in promoting the policy innovation and diffusion of local governments,while there is no significant correlation between urban administrative level and local governments willingness in policy innovation.