环境规制对制造业绩效的影响机制——基于地方政府竞争视角分析

Impact mechanism of environmental regulation on manufacturing performance:analysis from the perspective of local government competition

运用空间自回归模型和空间杜宾模型,针对2005-2015年中国30个省级的面板数据研究环境规制对制造业绩效的影响以及地方政府竞争对两者关系的调节作用。研究发现:环境规制对制造业绩效具有负向直接效应和正向空间溢出效应;在地方政府竞争的作用下,环境规制对制造业绩效的负向直接效应和正向空间溢出效应均被缩小;环境规制负向影响制造业绩效的总效应,引入地方政府竞争后,总效应的负向影响将被缩小;环境规制对制造业绩效的直接效应、空间溢出效应、总效应以及地方政府竞争对这3种效应的调节作用具有区域差异性。

Using the Spatial Autoregressive Model and the Spatial Dubin Model,the paper analyzes the impacts of environmental regulation on manufacturing performance and the regulation of local government competition for the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2015.The results show that: environmental regulation has negative direct effects and positive spatial spillover effects on manufacturing performance;under the influence of local government competition,the negative direct effect and positive spatial spillover effect of environmental regulation on manufacturing performance are reduced;the negative effect of environmental regulation on manufacturing performance is reduced by introducing local government competition;the direct effect,spatial spillover effect,total effect of environmental regulation on manufacturing performance and the regulatory effect of local government competition on these three effects have regional differences.