“一带一路”倡议与我国经济发展关系实证研究——基于31省份面板数据

An empirical study on the relationship between the Belt and Road Initiative’s and China’s economic development——Based on the panel data of 31 provinces

在经济领域,诸多学者发现宏观政策对经济发展的影响作用,例如,社会保障制度以及相关福利制度等等。基于“一带一路”倡议,利用中国31个省份(市、自治区)2012—2017年的国内生产总值面板数据,使用双重差分模型研究“一带一路”倡议对经济发展的影响效应。研究结果表明,“一带一路”倡议对经济发展有着促进作用,但并不显著。因此,提出了中国应该吸引更多国家向中国投资政策建议。

In the field of economy,many scholars have found the impact of macroeconomic policy on economic development,such as the social security system and related welfare systems,and so on.Based on the “Belt and Road Initiative” initiative,using the GDP panel data of 31 provinces(cities,autonomous regions)in China from 2012 to 2017,the impact effect of Belt and Road Initiative initiative on economic development is studied by using double difference model.The results show that the Belt and Road Initiative initiative plays an important role in promoting economic development,but it is not significant.Therefore,it is proposed that China should attract more countries to invest in China.