摘要
Sea level rise is a slow-onset disaster.We collected information about the natural and ecological environments,tides and sea levels,and socio-economic aspects to investigate the distribution and zoning of the risks from sea level rise across Shandong Province.The trends in sea level in different counties of Shandong Province were predicted using moving averages and a random dynamic analysis forecasting model,and the model outputs and socio-economic indicators were combined to assess the risks.The results show that the risks of sea level rise along the western coast of Bohai Bay and Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province were sufficiently large to warrant attention.
Sea level rise is a slow-onset disaster. We collected information about the natural and ecological environments, tides and sea levels, and socio-economic aspects to investigate the distribution and zoning of the risks from sea level rise across Shandong Province. The trends in sea level in different counties of Shandong Province were predicted using moving averages and a random dynamic analysis forecasting model, and the model outputs and socio-economic indicators were combined to assess the risks. The results show that the risks of sea level rise along the western coast of Bohai Bay and Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province were sufficiently large to warrant attention.
基金
Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC1402000)
the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U1706216)
the Marine Science and Technology Project of North China Sea Branch of State Oceanic Administration(No.2018B05)
