石油化工项目经济评价中评估价格预测方法初探

Preliminary Probe into Prediction Method of Price Appraisal in Economic Evaluation of Petrochemical Projects

石化原料和产品的价格预测是一件非常复杂和细致的工作 ,为了提高石油化工项目经济评价的科学性和准确性 ,在对国际石化产品和原料市场的价格关系进行分析的基础上 ,认为用国际石油化工装置的“平均毛利”为基础预测可行性研究报告的产品和原料价格是合理的 ,并提出国内化工产品和原料的经济评价价格的预测模型。

The price prediction of petrochemical materials and product is a very complicated and very careful work. It is understood that,according to the analysis of price relation in international petrochemical materials and product markets,using the 'average gross profit' of international petrochemical plants as basis to predict the raw material and product prices in the feasible analysis should be reasonable. This paper also puts forward a prediction model for the evaluation of price of domestic chemical materials and product.