计及地区特点的分布式电源发展适用性评估

Applicability Evaluation for Development of Distributed Power Generation Considering Regional Characteristics

目前,能源资源短缺、环境污染及气候变化等问题日益突出,分布式发电成为有效化解传统能源日渐枯竭与能源利用效率低下以及以煤为主的能源结构与环境压力持续增大双重矛盾的重要途径。我国不同地区的分布式电源发展存在明显差异,为促进分布式电源健康有序发展,针对分布式电源的发展适用性,借助群组决策-反熵权组合法,构建了计及地区特点的分布式电源发展适用性综合评估模型。该模型综合考虑分布式电源的经济性、技术性、资源可用性、环境兼容性和社会性,兼顾主、客观信息。通过算例分析,评估了分布式电源的整体及局部发展适用性,表明所构建的综合评估模型是科学合理的,且具有较大的应用价值。

Considering the increasing energy resources shortage,environmental pollution and climate change,distributed generation becomes an important way to effectively solve the contradiction in depletion of traditional energy,low efficiency of energy utilization,fossil fuel-dominated energy structure and intensive environmental pressure.The development of distributed generation is distinctively different in specific regions,for which an evaluation method is essential to promote the healthy and orderly development of distributed generation.The applicability evaluation model of distributed generation was built based on the combination of group decision and anti-entropy weight method considering regional characteristics.The model takes account in the subjective and objective factors such as the economy,technical feature,resource availability,environmental compatibility and sociality of the distributed generation.The instance analysis covers the applicability evaluation of overall and local distributed generation with certain scientific and rational nature in the planning and optimization of distributed generation.