北京市流动人口流入时间分析

Analysis of the Floating Population's Arrival time in Beijing

利用1997年北京市外来人口普查20％样本资料,本文对北京市流动人口流人北京市的时间分布进行了自相关和自回归分析。结果表明:流动人口的流入时间分布具有很强的周期性,特别是当间隔期为1个月、半年左右和1年时,这种周期性表现更为突出。研究结果对于预测未来流动人口流人人数具有参考价值。

Based on 20% sample survey of floating population in Beijing in 1997, this paper analyzes the arrival time distribution of the floating population by the method of self - coorelation analysis and finds out the obvious periodicity of their arrival time, especially in the intervals of one month, about half a year and one year. The results have referential value to predicting the number of in - floating population in Bejing.