一个预测农民收入的线形回归模型

A Linear Regression Model to Predict Farmer's Income of China

增加农民收入是我国当前经济生活中的热点问题 ,也是影响我国经济快速发展的制约因素。本文通过研究农民纯收入和相关因素的数量关系 ,建立了关于农民收入的线形回归模型 ,并通过各项检验 ,利用 1999年的数据进行预测 ,预测值和实际值非常接近 ,因此模型具有很好的应用价值。

To increase farmers' income gains much attention to the hot problern in our economic lives, it is also a restrict factor that has great influence on China' s rapid economy growth. Based on the researched of the quantitive relation between farmers' net income and other related factors, this thesis establishes the regression model to describe farmers' income. Based on year 1999' s data, this model successfully forecasts farmers' income in the year, the forecast value has little difference with the real one, and all the results have passed through all kinds of verifications.