摘要
构建了由政治障碍、经济障碍、制度障碍、外资营商障碍和双边关系五个方面构成的反映中国在"一带一路"沿线国家投资障碍的指数,采用神经网络方法进行综合评估。通过对重点国家的分析发现,新加坡、马来西亚、哈萨克斯坦的投资障碍指数较小,印度尼西亚、以色列、俄罗斯、越南、泰国、巴基斯坦的投资障碍指数中等,柬埔寨的投资障碍指数较大;孟中印缅经济走廊的投资障碍指数较小,中巴经济走廊的投资障碍指数较大。对指标重要性进行排序发现,双边关系是影响测度结果最重要的因素。因此,中国应构建海外利益保护制度,巩固和发展与沿线国家双边关系,为中国企业参与"一带一路"建设创造良好的投资环境。
This paper constructs an investment barrier index consisted of politicalbarriers, economic barriers, institutional barriers, foreign business barriers and bilateralrelations, which is assessed by neural network methed. The results show that investment barriers are slight in Singapore, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, moderate in Indonesia, Israel,Russia, Viet Nam, Thailand, Pakistan, and significant in Cambodia. The barriers of Bangladesh-China -India - Myanmar Economic Corridor are slight, and those in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor are significant. The importance of each barrier factor wasranked, which indicates bilateral relation is the most important factor affecting investmentbarriers. The article suggests that it is necessary to establish an overseas interest protectionsystem of China and consolidate and develop bilateral relations with the countries along"the Belt and Road" , creating a good investment environment for Chinese enterprises toparticipate in the building of "the Belt and Road” .
作者
文洋
蔺顺锋
WEN Yang;LIN Shunfeng(Institute of International Strategy,Party School of the CPC Central Committee,Beijing 100091;China Everbright Bank,Beijing 100033)
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“国际投资规则的演变态势、影响及应对研究”(16CGJ005)