基于专利指标法和S曲线的门禁系统安全技术生命周期研究

Research on Access Control System Security Technology Life Cycle Based on Patent Index Method and S Curve

在建筑领域中,门禁系统的安全性要求越来越高。为从战略上宏观把握技术革新的方向,结合专利指标法和S曲线数学模型法分析门禁系统安全技术的生命周期,揭示我国门禁系统安全技术发展现状和趋势。研究表明,我国门禁系统安全技术从20世纪90年代末开始萌芽,经过12年的技术导入期于2011年进入成长期,2018年步入成熟期,预计到2024年进入衰退期。最后针对我国门禁系统安全技术所处发展阶段以及发展趋势,从专利战略视角为相关企业提供相应的专利策略。

In the field of architecture,the security requirements of access control system are getting higher and higher.In order to grasp the direction of technological innovation strategically,this paper analyzes the life cycle of the security technology of the access control system,combined with the patent index method and the S-curve mathematical model.The research shows that the security technology of access control system in China began to sprout in the"late 1990s,after 12 years of technology introduction,it entered the growth period in 2011,entered the mature period in 2018,and is expected to enter the recession period by 2024.Finally,according to the development stage and development trend of access control system security technology in China,the corresponding patent strategy is provided for related enterprises from the perspective of patent strategy.