基于Agent-CET模型的电力企业碳减排交易机制研究

A Research on the Carbon Emission Reduction of the Power Enterprise Based on Agent-CET Model

研究电力行业碳排放交易有利于解决电力市场交易的协调和模拟问题,有助于完善和指导我国碳排放交易(CET)制度。分析了CET制度对电力企业碳排放量的影响,定义了电力市场和碳排放权交易市场各交易商Agent的角色和功能,并构建了基于Agent的CET模型,从发电技术转化、碳排放权交易和相关市场模拟3方面开展了CET模型的实施研究。结果表明,基于Agent的CET模型比传统的建模方法更具优势,通过综合考量市场参与者的风险偏好、期望、参与时间等要素,能够将单一的电力市场和碳排放权交易市场联系起来形成多市场、多代理模拟,从而促进电力企业科学评估电力市场各主体策略的动态调整和碳交易状况。

Studying the carbon emission trade(CET)in the power industry is conducive to solving the coordination and simulation problems in the electricity market transactions and helps to improve and guide China’s carbon emission trade system.The impact of the CET system on the carbon emissions of power companies is analyzed.Based on our definition of dealer roles and functions in the electricity market and carbon emission trading market,an agent-based CET model is constructed to carry out research on the implementation of CET model from three aspects:power generation technology conversion,carbon emission trade and related market simulation.The results show that the agent-based CET model has more advantages than the traditional modeling method.By considering factors such as risk preferences,expectations,and participation time of market participants,this model can link a single electricity market to the carbon emission trading market to form a multi-market,multi-agent simulation.Therefore,this proposed model can promote the scientific assessment of the dynamic adjustment of the main body strategy of the power market and the status of carbon trading.