出口信用保险对我国出口贸易量的影响——基于省际截面数据实证分析

The Impact of Export Credit Insurance on China’s Export Trade Volume——Empirical Analysis Based on Interprovincial Section Data

随着我国贸易的迅速发展,出口信用保险正在我国经济中扮演着更加重要的角色。基于出口信用保险对货物贸易量存在正面影响的理论基础,本文构建和分析了出口信用保险对出口贸易产生直接作用的两种传导路径——斜率效应和增长效应,并以我国31个省级行政地区2014-2016年的相关数据为样本,分别运用截面数据模型对其直接效应进行了检验。结果表明,出口信用保险对各地区出口贸易的两种影响显著为正。

With the rapid development of China's trade,export credit insurance is playing a more important role in China's economy.Based on the theoretical basis that export credit insurance has a positive impact on the volume of trade in goods,this paper constructs and analyses two transmission paths of export credit insurance that have a direct impact on export trade through slope effect and growth effect.The data of 31 provincial administrative regions in China from 2014 to 2016 are used as samples respectively.The direct effect was tested by section data model.The results show that the two effects of export credit insurance on regional export trade are significantly positive.