户主职业对农户响应林业科技服务的影响——基于江西纵向数据GEE分析

Impact of Household Heads’ Occupations on Farmers’ Response to Forestry Science and Technology Services:GEE Model Based on Longitudinal Data in Jiangxi Province

基于江西农户8年跟踪调查纵向样本数据,运用广义估计方程(GEE)Logistic回归模型,检验户主职业与农户林业科技服务响应之间关系。结果表明:户主职业对农户林业科技服务响应行为产生显著性影响,户主全职务农农户逐步成为技术采纳的弱质性农户,户主长期外出务工的农户林业科技服务响应具有异质性,户主职业的变动对农户林业科技服务响应有正向影响。提出林业科技服务供给以及协同推进发展现代林业与实施乡村振兴战略等方面政策建议。

Based on the longitudinal sample data of an 8 years follow-up survey,the paper used the Logis?tic model of Generalized Estimation Equation(GEE)to test the relationship between household occupation and farmers’response to forestry science and technology services.The results show that:The occupations of household heads have a significant impact on farmers’response to forestry science and technology services.Households headed by full-time farmers have gradually become weak farmers in technology adoption.In con?trast,those headed by long-term migrant workers have heterogeneous response to forestry science and technolo?gy services.The change of household occupations has a positive impact on farmers’response to forestry science and technology services.Finally,the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the supply of forestry sci?ence and technology services as well as the coordinated promotion of the development of modern forestry and the implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization.