摘要
本文利用全国285个城市2005—2017年的面板数据,运用广义空间动态面板GMM模型检验了产业结构优化与全要素生产率提升对经济增长的影响效应。研究结论表明产业结构高级化对经济增长为负向作用;而全要素生产率为正向作用。工业化对服务化升级的“结构红利难以维持中国经济的快速增长,我国经济增长的动力逐步从产业结构优化转为提高全要素生产率,全要素生产率未来不仅是中国经济增长的主要动力,产业结构和解决“结构性放缓”问题的重要途径。
Based on the panel data of 285 cities in China from 2005 to 2017,this paper uses the generalized spatial dynamic panel GMM model to test the impact of industrial structure optimization and total factor productivity improvement on economic growth.The conclusion shows that the upgrading of industrial structure has a negative effect on economic growth,while the total factor productivity has a positive effect.The structural dividend of industrialization to service upgrading is difficult to maintain the rapid growth of China s economy.The driving force of China s economic growth has gradually changed from industrial structure optimization to improving total factor productivity.Total factor productivity is not only the main driving force of China s economic growth in the future,but also the industrial structure and an important way to solve the problem of“structural slowdown”.
作者
章浩燕
ZHANG Hao-yan(Business school,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China)
出处
《科技与管理》
2019年第4期13-18,共6页
Science-Technology and Management
基金
浙江省自然科学基金项目(LY17G030010)
关键词
经济增长
产业结构
全要素生产率
广义空间动态面板GMM模型
economic growth
industrial structure
total factor productivity
generalized spatial dynamic panel GMM model
