南海区海洋经济与环境可持续发展比较研究——基于2006—2015年面板数据实证分析

Comparative Study on Marine Economy and Environmental Sustainable Development in Nanhai District:Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data from 2006 to 2015

近年来我国沿海省、市、自治区的海洋经济得到迅猛发展,然而海洋自然生态系统却不断衰退,使得海洋经济与海洋环境之间的矛盾日益凸显。为加快推进“海洋强国”战略,促进海洋经济与环境的可持续发展,需对海洋经济与环境之间协调发展情况进行科学评价。文章以南海区为例,基于主成分分析法和因子分析法,结合南海区海洋经济与环境实际发展情况,建立南海区海洋经济与环境可持续发展指标体系,选取14个具有代表性和数据齐全的二级指标,对2006-2015年南海区海洋经济与环境的发展状况进行综合评价,结论显示:整体来看南海区海洋经济与环境可持续发展综合能力趋势发展良好,但是从区域方面,南海区各地区之间的海洋经济与环境可持续发展综合能力呈现不平衡发展现象,广东省有明显的优势,尤其体现在海洋经济发展能力方面。

In recent years,marine economy of China′s coastal provinces and cities has developed rapidly.At the same time,marine natural ecosystem has been declining,making the contradiction between the marine economy and the marine environment increasingly prominent.In order to accelerate the promotion of the"Ocean Power"strategy and promote the sustainable development of marine economy and the environment,it is necessary to understand the coordinated development between marine economy and the environment.Therefore,marine economy and the environmental system should be scientifically evaluated.Taking Nanhai District as an example,based on principal component analysis and factor analysis method,combined with the actual development of marine economy and environment in Nanhai District,the index system of marine economic and environmental sustainable development in Nanhai District was established,and 14 representative and complete data were selected.The second-level indicators,a comprehensive evaluation of the development of marine economy and environment in the South China Sea from2006 to 2015 was implemented.The conclusions showed that the overall trend of marine economic and environmental sustainable development in the South China Sea was developing well,but from a regional perspective,the comprehensive capacity of marine economic and environmental sustainable development among the provinces of the South China Sea was unevenly developed.There are obvious advantages,especially in the development capability of the marine economy.