“一带一路”背景下阿富汗安全风险研究

The Security Risks in Afghanistan in the Context of "Belt and Road Initiative"

阿富汗是中国西部的重要邻国,具有丰富的矿产资源和优越的地理位置,是"一带一路"通往中亚、西亚和南亚所经的重要节点国家,其国内安全形势直接关系到我国的安全利益和经济利益。作为一个穆斯林占人口绝大多数的部落国家,阿富汗国内的安全形势极易受到恐怖主义、军阀割据和外部干涉的影响,使其长期处于动荡状态。为推进"一带一路"在阿建设,文章介绍了阿富汗参与"一带一路"的现状,梳理了"一带一路"在阿面临的主要安全风险,并提出了三点应对之策。

Afghanistan is an important neighbor on China’s west. With rich mineral resources and superior geographical location, it is an important node connecting Central Asia, west Asia and South Asia. Afghanistan’s domestic security is directly related to China’s security and economic interests. As a predominantly Muslim tribal country, Afghanistan’s domestic security situation is highly vulnerable to terrorism, warlordism and external interference, leaving it in a state of long-term instability. In order to promote the construction of "Belt and Road Initiative" in Afghanistan, this paper introduced the current situation of Afghanistan’s participation in the Initiative, analyzed the main security risks the Initiative faced in Afghanistan, and proposed three countermeasures.