中美经贸关系的发展和展望

Development and Prospects of Sino-US Economic Relations

在中美经贸关系陷入困难之际,本文回顾了历史,分析了影响中美经贸关系发展的众多因素:中美关系甚至国际格局;从双边到多边、再到全球的规则和制度基础;战后的国际经济环境,尤其20世纪80年代以来的全球化大潮。文章也分析了相对实力变化、中国积极开拓对外交往的姿态以及美国固守成规的做法所引发的中美经贸摩擦和挑战。本文的研究发现:健康稳定的中美关系是中美经贸合作的基础;多边、甚至全球化的平台是中美两国经贸关系进一步发展的制度保障。作为具有世界影响力的大国,中美经贸合作的潜力巨大。摈弃狭隘的单边思维,通过平等协商方式才能开创双边经贸合作、甚至全球经济的未来。

At a time when Sino-US economic relations are in difficulty,this article tries to explore the key factors affecting their development and prospects,including Sino-US relations and,in some cases,international background,bilateral,multilateral and global rules and institutional foundations,and the post-war international economic environment,especially the globalization tide since the 1980s.It also analyses factors contributing to the economic and trade frictions between China and the United States,such as changes in their relative strength,China’s more active engagement with other countries and the US’adherence to conventional practices.This article finds that in the end,a healthy and stable Sino-US relationship is the basis of Sino-US economic and trade cooperation,and a multilateral and globalized platform is the institutional guarantee for further development of their relations.As the two biggest countries with significant global influence,the Sino-US economic and trade cooperation has great potential.Only by abandoning the narrow unilateral way of thinking can we create a bright future for bilateral economic and trade cooperation and the world economy on the basis of equal consultation.