城镇化发展对农民家庭经营收入的影响——基于空间计量模型的实证分析

The Influence of Urbanization Development on Farmers’ Income from Household Business:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Spatial Econometric Model

在城镇化进程中确保农民家庭经营收入稳步增长,对于维护国家粮食安全具有重要意义。文章将城镇化细分为人口、土地和经济三个方面,探讨了其对农民家庭经营收入的影响机理,并基于空间计量模型进行了实证分析。结果表明:人口城镇化对农民家庭经营收入存在负的直接影响和空间溢出效应,土地城镇化对农民家庭经营收入存在负的直接影响和正的空间溢出效应,经济城镇化对农民家庭经营收入存在正的直接影响和空间溢出效应。因此,城镇化进程中要通过强化产业支撑,加快培育新型经营主体,切实保护耕地资源,促进农产品跨区域流通,充分发挥非农产业带动作用等措施促进农民家庭经营收入增长。

In the process of urbanization,it is of great significance to ensure the steady growth of farmers’income from household business,which is of great importance to the maintenance of national food security.The population,land and economic urbanization were introduced to analyze the urbanization,in which the influence mechanism of all aspects on farmers’income from household business was discussed and made an empirical analysis based on spatial econometric model.The results of spatial econometric analysis show that the population urbanization has negative direct influence and spatial spillover effect,the land urbanization has negative direct influence and positive spatial spillover effect,the economic urbanization has positive direct influence and spatial spillover effect.Therefore,in the process of urbanization,we should strengthen the industrial support,accelerate the cultivation of new business entities,protect the cultivated land resources,promote the cross regional circulation of agricultural products,and give full play to the role of non-agricultural industries to promote the growth of household business income.