摘要
对军事物流需求的定义、特征、内容进行界定分析,构建军事物流需求预测的基本模型。首先通过将军事物流需求和社会物流需求进比较分析,得出军事物流需求的准确定义,其次通过分析军事物流需求的特征以及包含内容,结合定量分析法和定性分析法,构建军事物流需求预测分析的基本模型。提出基于BP神经网络的军事物流需求组合预测模型,能够有效地克服单一预测方法导致的预测误差。为我军军事物流需求预测提供一种方法参考,为下一步军事物流整体规划建设打下基础。
The work aims to analysis and definition characteristics and contents of mi-litary logistics demand,a basic model of military logistics demand is constructed.First of all to through the comparative analysis of military logistics demand and social lo gistics demand,the accurate definition of military logistics demand is gotten,secondly to through analysis characteristics and con tents of military logistics demand,combining quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis,the basic prediction model of military logistic demand is constructed.A combined prediction model of military logistics demand based on BP neural network is proposed,the prediction error caused by a single prediction method is effectively overcomed.Providing a method reference for the military lo gistics demand predict of our army,which will lay a foundation for the overall planning and construction of military logistics in the next step.
作者
叶层程
王丰
YE Cengcheng;WANG Feng(Department of Military Logistics Engineering,Army Logistics University of PLA,Chongqing 401311)
出处
《舰船电子工程》
2019年第11期22-25,37,共5页
Ship Electronic Engineering
基金
国家社科基金军事学项目“西藏方向物资保障研究”（编号：14GJ003-106）
全国后勤科研项目（编号：CS114L003）
全军军事类研究生课题资助
关键词
军事物流
需求分析
预测模型
military logistics
demand analysis
prediction model
