政府工业转型升级政策有效性研究

Research on the Effectiveness of Government’s Industrial Upgrading Policy

2011年国家颁布促进工业转型升级政策,后期出台一系列的政策措施来促进制造业企业升级,这些政策的实施效果如何,是否实现了政策制定者的初衷,这是一个值得研究的问题。利用中国制造业20个行业2006-2017年面板数据,运用计量模型检验国家工业转型升级政策对制造业企业升级的影响,对比分析2011年政策实施前后制造业升级的变化情况。以全球价值链地位、制造业企业升级程度和制造业企业升级能力作为升级指标,以工业转型升级政策为核心解释变量,以FDI利润总额、资本劳动比、研发强度、企业规模、行业企业利润等因素为控制变量,判断工业转型升级政策实施的效果。基于此,提出我国政府在制定促进企业升级政策方面的建议。

In 2011,the state promulgated industrial transformation and upgrading policy policies,and later issued a series of policies and measures to promote the manufacturing enterprises upgrading. Weather the implementation of these policies is effective and whether the original intention of policy makers has been achieved is a worthy of study question. Using panel data of 20 manufacturing industries in China from 2006 to 2017,this paper examines the impact of national economic policies on the upgrading of manufacturing enterprises by using econometric models. Taking the status of global value chain,upgrading degree of manufacturing enterprises and upgrading ability of manufacturing enterprises as upgrading indicators,transformation and upgrading policy policies as core explanatory variables,and using FDI profit,capital-labor ratio,R&D intensity,enterprise scale and industry enterprise profit as factors as control variable to judge the actual effect of policy implementation. Based on this,this paper puts forward some suggestions for our government in formulating policies to promote enterprise upgrading.