京津冀地区省际与省内流动人口工资收入分配及其影响因素分析——基于2015年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据的经验

An Analysis of The Migrants’ Wage Distribution and Its Influence Factors in and among Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region ——Based on Data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2015

基于2015年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,通过再中心化影响函数最小二乘法估计,并结合Blinder-Oaxaca分解方法,系统研究了京津冀地区流动人口工资收入分配及其影响因素。研究发现:京津冀地区人口流动尚属于城镇化过程中的农民工转移,以提高工作匹配质量为目的的人口流动还未形成规模;在京津冀地区,北京市流动人口生产率禀赋回报最高,但农业户口等非生产率禀赋也给流动人口带来了明显的工资劣势;京津冀地区省际人口流动在行业优势工资引导下优化了就业结构。为实现以就业匹配为目的的京津冀地区人口有序流动,须消除三地间人口流动的行政障碍,减弱户籍与附加福利的关联度,完善劳动力市场对生产率禀赋的回报机制。

Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2015, by employing the least square estimation of Recentered Influence Function in combination with the decomposition of the Blinder-Oaxaca,this paper systematically studies the wage distribution of migrants in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and its influencing factors. The results show that the current migrants in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei are mainly the transfer of peasant-workers in the process of urbanization, population flow aimed at improving the quality of job matching has not yet taken shape. It is also found that among the migrants in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, productivity endowments of the migrants in Beijing get the highest labor reward, but the agricultural household registration gives them the most obvious wage disadvantage, and the inter-provincial migrants empowered by industry advantage wages in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei have improved the employment structure. Thus, to realize the orderly flow of population in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei for the employment matching, related governments should remove administrative barriers for population flow in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, attenuate the association between additional benefits and household registration, and improve the mechanism of labor market returns on productivity endowment.