农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境协调发展:时空演变及驱动机制

The Coordinated Development between the Diversification of Agricultural Industry and Rural Human Settlements: Time and Space Evolution and Driving Mechanism

乡村振兴是农村提质增效、城乡协调的必然选择和重要抓手,而乡村振兴质量的高低,在一定程度上取决于农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境是否协调发展。运用综合指数法、协调发展度模型、线性拟合等方法,研究1996-2017年中国农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境协调发展时空演化特征,并揭示二者协调演进驱动机制。结果表明:1996年以来,中国农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境协调发展态势向好,从中度失调为主向临界协调为主转变,2010年作为分水岭,农业产业多元化指数实现从滞后于乡村人居环境发展指数到二者曲线渐趋接近状态;省域农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境协调度由"离散型"演化为"东高西低"的空间分异特征;二者协调空间演变是受到路径依赖、人才技术、基础设施、国际贸易、资源环境等多重因素综合驱动的结果,据此提出推进农业产业多元化与乡村人居环境协调优化的对策建议。

Rural revitalization is an inevitable choice and an important starting point for rural quality improvement and urban-rural coordination, and the quality of rural revitalization depends on whether industrial diversification and human settlements are coordinated to a certain extent method. By using synthetical index method, coordinated development degree model and linear fitting method, this paper studies the time-spatial evolution characteristics of the coordinated development between the diversified rural industry and residential environment in China from 1996 to 2017, and demonstrates the coordinated evolution mechanism between the two. The results show that: first, the coordinated development trend of diversified rural industry and residential environment in China has improved from moderate imbalance to critical coordination since 1996. Taking 2010 as a watershed moment, the diversified rural industry index has been increased from lagging behind to verging on the residential environment development index. Second, the "discrete" coordinated development degree between residential environment in province and economic system has been developed into the spatial differentiation characteristic of "high in east and low in west". Third, the spatial evolution of rural residential industry coordination is driven by multiple factors, such as path dependence, talent and technology, infrastructure, international trade, and resource environment, etc. Based on these, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to promote the coordination and optimization of rural residential industry.