基于SD模型的对岸火力支援弹药消耗规律分析

Research of Ammunition Consumption Rules in Anti-shore Support Based on SD Model

为计算弹药的需求量及了解弹药消耗的规律,对SD(system dynamic)模型的对岸火力支援弹药消耗规律进行分析。根据系统动力学的基本思路,构建对岸火力支援弹药消耗SD模型,对模型的因果关系进行分析,得出交战模型的弹药消耗SD流图,并通过典型案例进行仿真验证。仿真结果表明:SD模型可以反映对岸火力支援作战中的弹药消耗的总趋势,为指挥员从宏观层面整体掌控弹药消耗的本质规律提供参考。

In order to calculate ammunition demand and understand the law of ammunition consumption,the system dynamic(SD)model was used to analyze the law of ammunition consumption for cross-shore firepower support.According to the basic idea of system dynamics,the SD model of ammunition consumption for cross-shore firepower support is constructed,and the causality of the model is analyzed.The SD flow chart of ammunition consumption for the engagement model is obtained,which is verified by simulation with typical cases.The simulation results show that the SD model can reflect the general trend of ammunition consumption in cross-shore fire support operations,and provide a reference for commanders to control the essential law of ammunition consumption from the macro level.