冬奥会背景下崇礼滑雪旅游产业的发展规模——基于经济预测的视角

Development Scale of Chongli Ski Tourism Industry Under Winter Olympics: from the Perspective of Economic Forecasting

冬奥会背景下崇礼滑雪旅游产业的发展规模不仅关乎产业发展的可持续性,也对投资具有较强的现实指导价值。从总量、分量、分类角度出发,综合应用回归分析法、类推分析法、专家评估法和调查分析法等预测未来5年崇礼滑雪旅游产业的收入总量,并以各种方法的平均值作为最终结果。研究结果显示,到2022年崇礼滑雪旅游产业规模将达到43亿元人民币,年均保持11%左右的增长率。基于上述研究,对崇礼滑雪旅游产业的健康发展提出相关建议。

The development scale of Chongli ski tourism industry under the Winter Olympics is not only related to sustainability of the industry,but also has a strong practical investing guidance.This paper researches from the three angles of total,component and classification,and forecasts the total income of Chongli ski tourism industry in the next 5 years by comprehensive application of regression analysis,analogy analysis,expert evaluation,investigation and analysis,etc.The results show that Chongli ski tourism industry will reach 4.3 billion yuan by 2022,with an annual growth rate of 11%.Based on the researches above,relevant suggestions are proposed for the healthy development of the Chongli ski tourism industry.