城市级别对农民工市民化倾向的影响

The influence of city level on the citizenization tendency of migrant workers

基于全国调查数据,引入迁移福利作为中介变量,运用最优尺度回归和中介效应法,分析了城市级别对农民工市民化倾向的影响作用与机制。结果显示:农民工市民化倾向与城市级别呈现倒U型关系;在县城与县级市务工的农民工的定居意愿最强,其次是地级市和省会城市,在直辖市务工的农民工的定居意愿最弱,建制镇次之;城市级别主要通过收入水平、居住福利、社交福利和心理福利影响农民工的市民化倾向;就业福利和居住成本的中介效应则不显著。

Based on the national survey data,the Optimal Scale Regression and the Intermediary Effect Method are used to empirically analyze the influence and mechanism of urban level on migrant workers’ citizenization tendency. The results show that: There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between migrant workers’ citizenization tendency and urban level;Migrant workers in county and county-level cities have the strongest willingness to settle down,followed by prefecture-level cities and provincial capitals,and migrant workers in municipalities directly under the Central Government have the weakest willingness to settle down,followed by structured towns;At the city level,the following elements mainly affects migrant workers’ citizenization tendency: the income level,residential welfare,social welfare and psychological welfare;The intermediary effect of employment welfare and housing cost is not significant.